Monday, 18 November 2013

Investment Road Map



Image Credit: 401(K) 2012/Flickr

As another year draws to a close, the New year will be the first blank page of a 365 page book. We all want to write a good one. Don’t we?

Soon, it would be all about setting new goals and making new resolutions; like learning a musical instrument, making a new friend every month, starting to exercise, giving up chocolate, or even breaking a world record. This list can go on and on, but wait a minute, be sure not to omit a very major item on your list. In fact it should be first on your list. It's a resolution to invest wisely in the coming year.

Mind you, according to recent statistics, Only 8% of people are always successful in achieving their resolutions. 19% achieve their resolutions every other year.  49% have infrequent success.  24% NEVER succeed and have failed on every resolution every year. 

Therefore, it's not about the lengthiness  of your resolution list but the ability to be counted as part of the 8%, giving priority of course to what I consider the paramount item;  ‘investing wisely’.

So, from me to you, this comes as the long awaited sequel toWhat to do when you've got more money than you need’, in other words, how to invest.

When it’s about investing, remember that  “The first rule is not to lose and The second rule is not to forget the first rule.” – Warren Buffett.

Because risk appetites vary, the best way to invest is to start by setting out on a journey to discover where you stand, i.e. checking your risk appetite and then opting for investments that suit you.

This sounds pretty straight forward, doesn’t it? Well the next question one may ask is “now that I have assessed by appetite; what are the options open to me?”.

To answer this, let’s take an illustration from three good friends; Andrew, River and Walt. Now they had low, medium and high risk appetites respectively;


ANDREW
Image Credit: 401(K) 2012/Flickr
Andrew with his low risk appetite would chose a low or ‘risk-free’ investment. He prefers to have a good night's sleep all year round doesn’t he?

Thus the options open to him are placements, bonds or treasury bills. These investments are most times government backed however they offer low return on investments; usually ranging from 4%-15%PA. Now while the risk is very low, if Andrew takes inflation into consideration it may turn out that rather than making a gain, he may actually make a loss.

To understand this better let's take an illustration; Assuming Andrew invests $ 1,000 in placements which promises 7% PA, with an inflation rate of 9%, at the end of one year he would get a total of  $1,070 right? Now imagine as at the time of the investment, his $1,000 could buy him a basket of goods; however as at the time of maturity of the investment, these same basket of goods will go for $1090 as a result of the 9% inflation. So it turns out that Andrew is actually worse off.

Consequently, "In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable." - Robert Arnott. Thus when investing in these low risk securities, one needs to do proper analysis and ensure the rates being offered are worth it.

RIVER
Image Credit: Deutsche Fotothek/ Wikimedia
Now, for River; with his medium appetite, he most probably would want a diversified portfolio; i.e. have some low risk investments and some high risk investments. So while some money would be invested in low risk investments such as, bonds and treasury bills, he’ll also invest some in a business. His investment in business could be via purchase of shares; this represents higher risk due to the volatile nature of equity investments. It’s a common believe that the average return on equity investments ranges between 10-12% PA, unfortunately, it’s not quite that simple. However, this option is likely to put River in a much better situation as depending on his mix of investments.

Expectedly, his returns should be higher than Andrew’s right?. Be on the look out though, because "The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing." - Phillip Fisher.

Investing recklessly will ultimately lead to regrettable investment decisions, so be sure to get your analysis right before setting off. Of course you know that this goes way beyond just listening to popular opinion.

WALT
Image Credit: Patisserie/Wikimedia
Walt belongs to the school of thought that believes that if there is no risk, there is no reward. He tells himself often that life is either a daring adventure or nothing at all. Walt believes that investments are all about profitability and would go for investments that offer the highest returns irrespective of risk.

Walt’s investments range from owning his own business, to venture capital trusts, to unregulated collective investment schemes, to spread betting (more like placing a bet than making an investment. You bet on whether something – like the value of a share – will go up or down. The more it changes, the more you stand to win or lose) and so on

Now while Walt’s returns are open to greater risks, on the flip side, he is being offered the highest return on his investments – if all goes as smoothly as he hopes. Sometimes the return on highly successful personal businesses can be as high as 70% or more, not without the risks though.

In summary, you really don’t need to invest like Andrew or his buddies. However, since everybody falls into one of these 3 categories of individuals, what matters is that you identify your field of play and play by your own rules. After all, it's your money!

What better way to sign off than to leave you with these wise words from Robert Kiyosaki.
"It's not how much money you make, but how much money you keep, how hard it works for you, and how many Generations you keep it for."

Ponder that!

Sunday, 10 November 2013

New Govt Proposal: Good News For UK Employers Or Not?

Image Credit: Ian MacKenzie/Flickr
Recently in the UK, the Government proposed a new form of salary-linked pension scheme that would allow employers to walk away from some promises if they end up being too expensive. Implying that workers pensions would no longer be protected against the risk of inflation.

This Proposal -“flexible defined benefits”, transfers more risk to savers by removing the requirement for schemes to upgrade pension payments in line with inflation, thereby sharing the risk between employers and employees evenly. Thus making it less costly for employers to manage such schemes.

Although this might sound like the Government is being biased toward the employers running such schemes, on the contrary, the Government has done this having workers' pensions in mind, because It made this proposal in a bid to stop companies shutting such costly schemes altogether. Closures such as these, end up making workers worse off.

Employers who end up halting such schemes argue that the schemes turn out being very expensive to run because of either high risks associated with investment returns or the rising life expectancy of scheme members.

At the moment, the Government is also being advised to consider lowering its proposed new pension charges cap from 0.75% to 0.50%, as advocates argue that worker’s retirement income would be boosted by thousands of pounds if the Government imposed a lower cap on pension scheme fees.